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Cell prices rise on short supply as upstream shortage persists

2022-06-20

Cell prices mount this week, due to ongoing short supply for cells in mainstream formats remain short this week and robust end user demand around the globe. For M10 cells, manufacturers offer price quotes as high as RMB 1.195-1.2/W, and even RMB 1.21/W

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Polysilicon (kg)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
Polysilicon Price - Prime for Mono (RMB) 268 261 263 +0.8 +2.000
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Wafer (pc)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
Multi Wafer - 157mm/180µm (USD) 0.453 0.432 0.443 +0.9 +0.004
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Multi Wafer - 157mm/180µm (RMB) 3.200 3.050 3.130 +1.0 +0.030
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Mono Wafer - 166mm / 160µm (RMB) 5.750 5.730 5.730 -- --
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Mono Wafer - 182mm / 160µm (USD) 0.930 0.922 0.926 -- --
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Mono Wafer - 182mm / 160µm (RMB) 6.830 6.750 6.780 -- --
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Mono Wafer - 210mm / 160µm (USD) 1.253 1.239 1.253 -- --
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Mono Wafer - 210mm / 160µm (RMB) 9.130 9.030 9.130 -- --
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  • USD prices for 166mm wafers are not listed from December onward, as 166mm are ousted from mainstream faster amid changing production and demand, whilst supply and demand in overseas markets concentrate.
  • Prices for multi-Si wafer prices will be based on the 157mm format with 175μm thickness; condition will change in accordance with the market situation.
  • Price quotes for 158.75mm, 166mm, and 182mm mono-Si wafers are based on 165μm of thickness, and 210mm mono-Si wafers on 160μm of thickness. Prices for thin wafers are calculated by the formula.
  • Prices for 210mm wafers are posted based on 160um of thickness from January 2022 onward.
  • Prices for 166mm and 182mm wafers will be posted based on 160μm of thickness from May 2022 onward.

Cell (W)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
Multi Cell - DW - 18.7% (USD) 0.127 0.124 0.125 -- --
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Multi Cell - DW - 18.7% (RMB) 0.965 0.924 0.933 -- --
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Mono PERC Cell - 166mm / 22.8%+ (USD) 0.198 0.154 0.155 -- --
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Mono PERC Cell - 166mm / 22.8%+ (RMB) 1.180 1.140 1.160 -- --
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Mono PERC Cell - 182mm / 22.8%+ (USD) 0.200 0.158 0.160 -- --
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Mono PERC Cell - 182mm / 22.8%+ (RMB) 1.210 1.185 1.195 +0.8 +0.010
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Mono PERC Cell - 210mm / 22.8%+ (USD) 0.158 0.152 0.154 -- --
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Mono PERC Cell - 210mm / 22.8%+ (RMB) 1.180 1.120 1.160 -- --
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  • The high point of cells represent the cell prices in Southeast Asia.
  • Given rising cell efficiency, from December onward, prices for 158.75mm cells will be presented with 22.6%+ of cell efficiency, and 22.8%+ for 166mm, 182mm, and 210mm cells.
  • Prices for 158.75mm mono-Si cells will be removed starting January 2022.

Monofacial Module (W)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
365-375 / 440-450W Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (USD) 0.500 0.260 0.265 -- --
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365-375 / 440-450W Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (RMB) 1.940 1.840 1.910 -- --
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182mm Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (USD) 0.295 0.260 0.270 -- --
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182mm Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (RMB) 1.960 1.860 1.930 -- --
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210mm Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (USD) 0.295 0.260 0.270 -- --
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210mm Mono-facial Mono PERC Module (RMB) 1.970 1.880 1.930 -- --
*
  • With previously signed orders and delivery cycle taken into consideration, the original average price column for foreign mono-Si PERC modules will lag amid faster price fluctuations. Owing to the expansion of price difference between spot prices and the prices previous long-term orders were signed at, mono-Si PERC module "spot price " column is added since this month to differentiate from the previous foreign spot price and long-term order price column. You may refer to the "high price" column for the spot prices of different size variants.
  • Module power output will be revised, as the market sees efficiency rise. Power outputs of 166mm, 182mm, and 210mm modules sit at 365-375/440-450 W, 535-545 W, and 540-550 W, respectively.
  • In response to price movements, spot prices for 365-375 / 440-450W modules overseas are canceled from January 2022.
  • From March 16 onward, average prices for modules in China are based on delivery prices of the week (inland shipping costs excluded). The figure is derived from the weighted average delivery price of distributed, utility-scale, and tender projects. Low prices are based on delivery prices of Tier-2 module makers or prices where orders were signed previously.

Bifacial Module (W)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
182mm Mono PERC Module (USD) 0.300 0.260 0.275 -- --
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182mm Mono PERC Module (RMB) 1.980 1.890 1.950 -- --
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210mm Mono PERC Module (USD) 0.300 0.260 0.275 -- --
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210mm Mono PERC Module (RMB) 1.990 1.900 1.950 -- --
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  • Prices are also posted for 182/210mm glass-glass bifacial modules from March onwards.

Region Module (W)

Item High Low Average price Change(%) Change($) Price prediction for next week
275-280 / 330-335W Multi Module-India (USD) 0.320 0.250 0.260 -- --
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365-375 / 440-450W Mono PERC-India(USD) 0.370 0.260 0.270 -- --
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365-375 / 440-450W Mono PERC-US(USD) 0.580 0.330 0.350 -- --
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365-375 / 440-450W Mono PERC-EU(USD) 0.300 0.260 0.280 -- --
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365-375 / 440-450W Mono PERC-Australia(USD) 0.300 0.260 0.275 -- --
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  • Indian prices in FOB terms without tax.
  • On November 16, the U.S. reduced Section 201 tariff rate to 15% and exempted bifacial modules from the tariff. From this week onward, U.S. prices were presented with FOB price quotes (with tax and ocean freight rates excluded).
  • Starting January 2022, spot price for modules rated at 365-375 / 440-450 W will be removed, in accordance with price announcement on the market.

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